DISQUS

Stuart Candy · 1 year ago

A cross-section of any of these graphs shows the % breakdown of all contenders for victory in the stated Olympic event, as estimated by the market. I'm assuming the probabilities of all listed contenders add up to 100% at any given moment: so, it seems to me that these graphs would be a lot easier to read if the vertical axis were split into coloured chunks (instead of lines) representing the teams, which would get thicker and thinner as their projected fortunes changed. My apologies if that's a viewing option you already have.

Nigel Eccles · 1 year ago

That is an interesting alternative way of viewing the data. The analogy we have used is stock prices which obviously aren't upward limited. Explaining the forecasts in a really simple way is a real challenge. One to think about.